There are a bunch of options you can choose from, from individual line options to forechecking strategies to power play and penalty kill settings. Because, whether you look at Elo or just the eye test, the number of teams who would scare an opponent in a best-of-seven series may be as large as it’s been at any point in recent memory.If you are new to the NHL franchise or just want to take your play to the next level, you might want to look deep into your team’s individual strategies. But the depth of this year’s field of contenders could also be the recipe for more upsets come playoff time. 4Ī stronger-than-usual crop of teams at the top might be able to even improve on those numbers, holding off would-be challengers more successfully. 3 But outliers aside, more than half of eventual Cup winners (62 percent) ranked among the top seven teams in Elo at the 48-game mark, and more than half of all finalists have come from the top nine. 16 in the Elo rankings through 48 games have gone on to make the Final and even win the Cup the Pittsburgh Penguins were sitting that low at midseason in 2016 before mounting a late-season charge to win the first of two consecutive Cups. In a normal season, teams ranked as low as No. How this all affects the Stanley Cup race is still up for debate. 1 through 31 (i.e., everyone above the hapless Montreal Canadiens, who sit in 32nd place - a spot that didn’t even exist before this season), there is also an abnormally large divide between the NHL’s haves and have-nots this year. While some of that is due to the introduction of the expansion Seattle Kraken, which raised the average rating for teams No. Each of the top 18 teams in this season’s Elo rankings carries a rating better than the average post-lockout rating has been for its ranking slot. Louis Blues.īut even though this year’s crop of best teams is unusually strong for this phase of the season, it’s also just an unusually top-heavy year overall. The Knights just debuted Jack Eichel, who finished eighth in MVP voting his last healthy season, and the Pittsburgh Penguins, Minnesota Wild, New York Rangers and Calgary Flames are looking plenty dangerous - to say nothing of the perennially contending Boston Bruins, Washington Capitals and St. The Toronto Maple Leafs are, yet again, making a persuasive Stanley Cup case in spite of their extensive history of postseason disappointment. The Panthers are tracking for the 16th-best offensive season relative to the league (+1.05 goals per game above average) in NHL history. The Hurricanes’ all-around excellence makes them a major force to be reckoned with, while it’s impossible to discount the Tampa Bay Lightning in their quest for a third-straight Cup – something that hasn’t been done since the New York Islanders claimed four consecutive titles from 1980 to 1983. Similar superlatives can describe many of this year’s other top teams. (Vegas actually had more expected goals in the game Colorado was propped up by the stellar goaltending of Darcy Kuemper and some missed nets by Golden Knights shooters.) The Avalanche are deep and talented, and they are Stanley Cup favorites for a reason. Highest Elo ratings for NHL teams through the first 48 games of a season (or current ratings for 2021-22 teams), since 2005-06 SeasonĮven on nights like Wednesday, when Colorado was actually not as sharp as its 2-0 scoreline over Vegas would indicate, the Avs have found ways to win. The Avs look like the NHL’s best post-lockout squad 2 team at this stage of the season since the 2005 lockout, trailing only the 2007-08 Detroit Red Wings, 2 and Colorado’s Elo rating of 1605 is the highest any team has had at this point of the season over that same span. ![]() That’s the second-biggest Elo cushion any top-ranked team held over the No. Right now, the Avalanche look unstoppable, with the league’s second-best offense, its best goal differential and the top Elo rating by a margin of 23 points over Carolina. 1 But no matter how dominant the teams at the top appear right now, hockey history says we always must expand our conception of who might still be skating come the end of the playoffs in June. Together, that star-laden quartet carries a combined 48 percent of winning the Stanley Cup according to our forecast model it’s easy to envision those teams eventually being the NHL’s version of a Final Four this season. 2 in our Elo ratings) hosted the Florida Panthers (No. Four of hockey’s elite contenders were in action against one another on Wednesday night, when the Carolina Hurricanes (No.
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